Who plays here 9
AI Infrastructure Landscape
The stack read bottom-up, from power and silicon to the products people actually buy. For each layer: who is active in it, which strategics would plausibly acquire there, and who leads rounds in Israel and the US. We publish what we can attribute and leave the rest blank.
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16 layers and cross-cutting concerns
The stack
Nine layers. Each one depends on everything below it.
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 6
What this layer is
The products people actually buy. Everything below exists so this layer can work.
Why it matters
Distribution decides outcomes here more than technology does. The same models are available to everyone, so the defensible asset is the workflow a company owns and the data that accumulates inside it.
What is moving now
Rounds here stopped being about model access. Harvey raised $550M at $15.6B and Sierra $950M, both on workflow depth and customer count rather than a model edge. Pricing is drifting from seats toward completed work, which rewards vendors who can show a task finished instead of a draft produced.
The vocabulary
- Vertical AI
- Software built around one industry's workflow, where the model is a component and the domain data is the moat.
- Agentic workflow
- A task the software completes end to end, rather than a suggestion a person then acts on.
- System of record
- The place the work's data actually lives, which decides who can be displaced and who cannot.
- Outcome pricing
- Charging per unit of work finished instead of per user seat.
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 6
What this layer is
Multi-agent systems, orchestration, identity, tools and memory.
Why it matters
The newest layer in the stack and the least settled. Whether agents become a durable architecture or a feature of the model layer decides how much of this survives as independent companies.
What is moving now
The standards question settled faster than the market did. MCP was donated to the Linux Foundation's Agentic AI Foundation, and x402 followed for agent payments. Capital is now going to the control points around agents rather than the frameworks: Snowflake bought Natoma for an MCP gateway, and Engram raised $98M for memory.
The vocabulary
- MCP
- Model Context Protocol: an open standard for how a model reaches tools and data.
- Agent memory
- Storage that carries state across runs, as opposed to a context window that resets each time.
- Harness
- The layer that decides which tool an agent may call, with what arguments, and what happens when it fails.
- Non-human identity
- Credentials belonging to an agent or workload rather than a person.
Who plays here 6
Notable rounds
What this layer is
Foundation models and the tooling developers build on top of them.
Why it matters
Model providers keep absorbing the layer directly above them, so anything here is one release away from being bundled. The tools that span several providers are the ones with room to stand alone.
What is moving now
Capital concentrated hard at the top: Anthropic's Series G and H, $30B then $65B, and OpenAI's $122B dwarf everything else in the stack. Underneath them the money moved to evaluation and simulation rather than new base models, because buyers now need evidence that a model behaves.
The vocabulary
- Post-training
- Everything after pre-training: fine-tuning, reinforcement learning, distillation. Where most differentiation now happens.
- Eval
- A repeatable test of model behaviour, used as a release gate the way a test suite is.
- Distillation
- Training a smaller model to imitate a larger one, to cut the cost of serving it.
- Context window
- How much input a model can hold in view at once.
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 6
What this layer is
Storage, pipelines, vector and analytical databases that feed models.
Why it matters
AI workloads impose access patterns the lakehouse generation was not designed for: embeddings, high-volume reads and retrieval under latency. That mismatch is where the opening sits.
What is moving now
Consolidation arrived: IBM closed Confluent at $11B and Salesforce closed Informatica, both to own real-time and governed data underneath AI workloads. Among startups the premium moved to data that is labelled and permissioned, which is what Mercor and Snorkel raised against.
The vocabulary
- RAG
- Retrieval-augmented generation: fetching relevant documents at query time instead of baking knowledge into weights.
- Vector database
- Storage indexed by embedding similarity rather than exact match.
- Lakehouse
- A warehouse and a data lake in one system, so analytics and training read the same tables.
- Synthetic data
- Generated training examples, used where real data is scarce or restricted.
Who plays here 6
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
Serving, routing, caching and the silicon that runs them.
Why it matters
Cost per token keeps falling, which erases businesses built on margin arbitrage and rewards the ones built on volume. Economics decide this layer more than capability does.
What is moving now
Serving became a business in its own right: Fireworks raised $1.5B at $17.5B and Baseten $1.5B. The open-source engines got commercial vehicles too, vLLM through Inferact and SGLang through RadixArk. Nvidia licensing Groq's technology for a reported $20B says the incumbents would rather buy a latency advantage than rebuild one.
The vocabulary
- Token
- The unit a model reads and writes. Inference is billed by it, so cost per token is the unit economics.
- Throughput vs latency
- Tokens per second across every user, against the wait a single user actually feels.
- Speculative decoding
- Drafting tokens with a small model and verifying with a large one, to cut latency without changing the answer.
- Cold start
- The delay while a model loads before it can serve its first request.
Who plays here 6
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 4
What this layer is
Clusters, schedulers and the frameworks that train large models.
Why it matters
Capital-intensive and concentrated among a handful of buyers. A company here sells to a short list, and lives or dies on whether that list keeps building its own.
What is moving now
Training capacity is bought as infrastructure now rather than as cloud credits: IREN signed $3.4bn with Nvidia, GMI Cloud raised $668M, TensorWave $350M on AMD. The sharper shift is that post-training attracted funding of its own, because the scarce skill moved from pre-training to what happens after it.
The vocabulary
- Cluster
- Thousands of accelerators wired together tightly enough to train one model as a single job.
- Checkpoint
- A saved snapshot of weights, so a failed run resumes instead of starting over.
- Interconnect
- The network between accelerators, which is usually the real limit on how far a run can scale.
- RL pipeline
- The loop that turns a base model into one that follows instructions and refuses what it should.
What this layer is
GPU clouds and the scheduling layer above raw capacity.
Why it matters
Capacity itself is becoming a commodity, so the durable position is in what sits on top of it: utilisation, multi-tenancy, and moving workloads between providers.
What is moving now
Neoclouds raised enormous rounds, Nscale $3.36B ahead of an IPO and Crusoe $3.9B at $30.9B, while the trade press began asking about credit risk in their data-centre deals. The quieter opportunity is efficiency: ScaleOps raised $130M purely for making capacity already paid for go further.
The vocabulary
- Neocloud
- A cloud built specifically for accelerators, competing with hyperscalers on price and availability.
- Utilisation
- The share of a paid accelerator actually doing work. The industry's largest source of waste.
- Bin-packing
- Fitting jobs onto hardware so that little capacity sits idle between them.
- Multi-tenancy
- Letting several customers share one cluster without leaking data or performance into each other.
Who plays here 6
Notable rounds
What this layer is
GPUs, custom silicon and the interconnect between them.
Why it matters
The hardest layer to enter and the one everything above depends on. Supply rather than demand has been the constraint, which gives whoever holds it unusual leverage.
What is moving now
Cerebras' $5.5B IPO was the first large tech listing of 2026 and closed its opening day up over 100%, which reopened the market for specialised silicon. Nvidia set the pace above with Vera Rubin, and consolidation continued below it as Microchip took Hailo and Marvell closed Celestial AI.
The vocabulary
- GPU, TPU, ASIC
- General-purpose, Google's tensor chip, and fixed-function silicon. Specialisation buys efficiency and gives up flexibility.
- HBM
- High-bandwidth memory stacked beside the processor. Usually the component in shortest supply.
- Wafer-scale
- Building one very large chip from an entire wafer instead of cutting it into many small ones.
- FLOPs per watt
- The efficiency figure that decides what a given building can actually run.
Who plays here 6
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
Data centres, power, cooling and land.
Why it matters
Power, cooling and siting are now the binding constraints on AI. A physical-world market with physical-world timelines, carrying software-market valuations.
What is moving now
Power became the binding constraint and regulation followed: FERC directed the grid operators to write rules for very large loads, and data-centre absorption hit a record 25 GW in the first half of 2026. Capital went to generation and to cooling, with X-energy's $1B IPO and ZutaCore's $100M Series C in Israel.
The vocabulary
- Behind-the-meter
- Generating power on site, which sidesteps the queue to connect to the grid.
- Interconnection queue
- The wait to attach a large load to the grid, now measured in years rather than months.
- PUE
- Power usage effectiveness: total facility power divided by the power that reaches the computers.
- Direct-to-chip cooling
- Bringing liquid to the processor itself, because air stops working above a certain rack density.
Cuts across every layer
Concerns that show up at all nine levels at once.
Who plays here 5
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 7
What this layer is
Model, data, identity, runtime and AI security.
Why it matters
Every layer inherits the security problems of the layers below it and adds its own. Agents sharpen that: a system that acts needs permissions, and permissions need an owner.
What is moving now
This is where Israel is concentrated and where the exits landed: Palo Alto closed CyberArk and Google closed Wiz at $32B. New money follows agents rather than endpoints, with Zenity at $125M, Onyx at $113M and HiddenLayer at $100M, all selling control over what an agent is permitted to do.
The vocabulary
- Non-human identity
- Credentials held by a service, workload or agent rather than a person. They now outnumber human accounts.
- Prompt injection
- Instructions hidden inside content an agent reads, which the agent then follows as if they came from its operator.
- Model provenance
- Evidence of where a model's weights came from and what has been changed in them since.
- Runtime guardrail
- A check that approves, modifies or blocks an agent's action in the moment before it runs.
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
Tracing, evaluation and monitoring for models and agents.
Why it matters
Once a system acts rather than answers, knowing what it did stops being optional. Evaluation is turning into the control surface teams actually operate day to day.
What is moving now
Incumbents bought in rather than building: Cisco announced Galileo and Dynatrace announced Arize, both in 2026. Coralogix raised $200M on monitoring agents specifically. The market is converging on a plain idea, that an AI system owes the same operational evidence as any other production system.
The vocabulary
- Tracing
- Recording each step of a model or agent run, so a failure can be reconstructed afterwards.
- Eval harness
- A fixed suite a model must pass before it ships, and again after every change.
- Drift
- Behaviour changing over time while the code stays the same.
- Groundedness
- Whether an answer is actually supported by the sources it cites.
Who plays here 3
Notable rounds
What this layer is
The fabric between accelerators, and between data centres.
Why it matters
East-west traffic between GPUs is structurally different from the north-south traffic networking was built for, which opens a genuinely new surface rather than a faster version of an old one.
What is moving now
Ethernet extended its lead in AI scale-out while InfiniBand rebounded, per Dell'Oro. The more interesting capital went to optics: Marvell closed Celestial AI, and CScale came out of stealth backed by Nvidia and Intel. Israel's DriveNets raised $410M at $8.5B on the same demand.
The vocabulary
- East-west traffic
- Traffic between machines inside a data centre, which now dwarfs traffic in and out of it.
- Scale-up vs scale-out
- Connecting accelerators inside one rack, against connecting racks to one another.
- InfiniBand and RoCE
- Two routes to low-latency networking: purpose-built, and built on Ethernet.
- Optical interconnect
- Using light rather than copper between chips, to move more data per watt.
Who plays here 4
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
High-throughput storage for training sets, checkpoints and retrieval.
Why it matters
Training and inference read at volumes that break assumptions built for transactional workloads. Throughput per dollar is the whole argument here.
What is moving now
VAST Data's round valued it at $30B, the clearest sign that storage is being repriced as AI infrastructure rather than enterprise IT. Meta published its own AI storage architecture, which historically precedes the rest of the market adopting the same shape.
The vocabulary
- Throughput per dollar
- The real metric for training storage, in place of capacity per dollar.
- Checkpointing
- Writing model state periodically. A write pattern most storage systems were never designed for.
- Object vs parallel file system
- Cheap and vast, against fast and tightly coupled to the compute.
- Tiering
- Moving data between fast and cheap media automatically, by how often it is read.
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
Policy, audit, provenance and regulatory controls for AI.
Why it matters
Regulatory pressure is real and arriving unevenly. The gap is that the pain and the budget sit with different people, so the buyer is still forming.
What is moving now
The EU AI Act's high-risk obligations were pushed back: Council and Parliament agreed to simplify in May 2026 and the Council gave final approval in June, moving stand-alone high-risk duties to 2027. The US went the other way with an executive order in June. Buyers are not waiting for either, which is why governance is being bought as tooling now.
The vocabulary
- Risk tier
- How a regulation classifies a system, which in turn decides the obligations attached to it.
- Model card
- A published description of what a model is, how it was trained, and where it is known to fail.
- Audit trail
- A record complete enough to reconstruct why a particular decision was made.
- Conformity assessment
- Demonstrating before deployment that a system meets a standard, rather than after an incident.
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
Training data, licensing, labelling and synthetic generation.
Why it matters
The supply of freely available text is largely spent, which turns licensed and proprietary data into a scarce input rather than a commodity.
What is moving now
The price of training data stopped being zero. Anthropic's $1.5B copyright settlement was approved, Cloudflare moved to make AI crawlers pay publishers, and Getty v Stability went up on appeal. Mercor and Snorkel both raised on supplying data that is documented and permissioned.
The vocabulary
- Licensed corpus
- Training data acquired under contract, as opposed to scraped from the open web.
- Crawler signal
- A publisher's machine-readable instruction about crawling and training on its content.
- Provenance
- The record of where a piece of training data came from and on what terms.
- Synthetic data
- Model-generated examples used in training where real examples are scarce or restricted.
Who plays here 4
Notable rounds
Would plausibly acquire 5
What this layer is
Generation, grid access and efficiency for AI workloads.
Why it matters
Compute plans now run into grid timelines. Whoever can secure power on a useful schedule sets the pace for everything above.
What is moving now
Hyperscalers began contracting generation directly: Meta signed more than 6 GW across Vistra, Oklo and TerraPower, and Google and Constellation funded 890 MW of nuclear uprates into PJM. Fusion attracted real money as well, with Commonwealth Fusion raising $1B against a grid date in the early 2030s.
The vocabulary
- PPA
- Power purchase agreement: a long contract to buy electricity, often the thing that finances new generation.
- SMR
- Small modular reactor. Factory-built nuclear, sized for a single large load rather than a region.
- Uprate
- Increasing an existing plant's output without building a new one. The fastest capacity available.
- Curtailment
- Power that is generated but cannot be used or moved, and is thrown away.
How to read this
Who plays here lists companies operating in the layer; inclusion is a statement about category, not about quality or funding. Notable rounds shows recent raises we could attribute to a named source. Would plausibly acquire lists the strategics whose platform the layer would fold into. Segments are the research cells underneath each layer, with how settled each one is and how many companies we have mapped into it. Where something shows nothing, we had nothing we were willing to put a name to.